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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 61.69%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 19.38% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (5.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
61.69% | 18.93% | 19.38% |
Both teams to score 65.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.37% | 29.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.25% | 50.75% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.6% | 9.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.38% | 31.62% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.97% | 28.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.32% | 63.68% |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 9.37% 3-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 7.37% 1-0 @ 6.23% 3-0 @ 5.81% 3-2 @ 4.7% 4-1 @ 4.37% 4-0 @ 3.43% 4-2 @ 2.78% 5-1 @ 2.07% 5-0 @ 1.62% 5-2 @ 1.31% 4-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 4.07% Total : 61.69% | 1-1 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 2.63% 3-3 @ 1.99% Other @ 0.42% Total : 18.93% | 1-2 @ 5.04% 0-1 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-3 @ 2.14% 0-2 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.3% Total : 19.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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