Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 27

Apr 3, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
0 - 1
Bayern

Mukiele (26'), Sabitzer (37'), Upamecano (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Goretzka (38')
Kimmich (33'), Hernandez (81')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 17.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 2-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Bayern Munich
17.65%	20.72%	61.63%

Both teams to score 55.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.74%

41.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.34%

63.65%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.16%

36.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.37%

73.63%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.11%

12.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.71%

39.28%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 17.65%

Bayern Munich 61.63%

Draw 20.72%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.85% 1-0 @ 4.74% 2-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.65% 3-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.43% Total : 17.65%	1-1 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 4.97% 0-0 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.72%	0-2 @ 9.97% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-1 @ 9.73% 0-3 @ 6.81% 1-3 @ 6.8% 0-4 @ 3.49% 1-4 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 3.39% 2-4 @ 1.74% 0-5 @ 1.43% 1-5 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.42% Total : 61.63%