Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Bayern
Mar 6, 2021 5.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT
Dortmund
  • Robert Lewandowski 26' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 28' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 44' goal
  • Leon Goretzka 88' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 90' goal
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 2'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 9'
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 29'

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern 5 - 1 FC Koln
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Robert Lewandowski

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund 3 - 0 Arminia Bielefeld
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Erling Braut Haaland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 65.51%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 17.6% and a draw had a probability of 16.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (4.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Bayern Munich 65.51%
Draw 16.89%
Borussia Dortmund 17.6%

Both Teams to Score: 

70.01%

Goals

Over 2.5 77.58%
Under 2.5 22.42%
Over 3.5 58.53%
Under 3.5 41.47%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 93.36%
Under 0.5 6.64%
Over 1.5 75.35%
Under 1.5 24.65%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 74.98%
Under 0.5 25.02%
Over 1.5 40.32%
Under 1.5 59.68%

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 65.51%
Draw 16.89%
Borussia Dortmund 17.6%
Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.47%
3-1 @ 7.66%
2-0 @ 6.11%
3-0 @ 5.53%
3-2 @ 5.31%
4-1 @ 5.19%
1-0 @ 4.51%
4-0 @ 3.75%
4-2 @ 3.6%
5-1 @ 2.82%
5-0 @ 2.03%
5-2 @ 1.95%
4-3 @ 1.66%
6-1 @ 1.27%
Other @ 5.66%
Total : 65.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 5.87%
3-3 @ 2.45%
0-0 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 16.89%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 4.33%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-1 @ 2.3%
1-3 @ 2%
0-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 4.68%
Total : 17.6%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Dortmund
Nov 7, 2020 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Bayern
  • Marco Reus 45' goal
  • Thomas Delaney 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Erling Braut Haaland 83' goal
  • Axel Witsel 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 36'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 48'
  • goal David Alaba 45'+4'
  • goal Leroy Sane 80'
  • yellowcard Robert Lewandowski 82'
DFL-Supercup
Bayern
Sep 30, 2020 7.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Allianz Arena
Dortmund
  • Corentin Tolisso 18' goal
  • Thomas Muller 32' goal
  • Lucas Hernandez 66' yellowcard
  • Joshua Kimmich 82' goal
  • goal Julian Brandt 39'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 55'
Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Dortmund
May 26, 2020 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Signal Iduna Park
Bayern
  • Mats Hummels 13' yellowcard
  • Mahmoud Dahoud 67' yellowcard
  • goal Joshua Kimmich 43'
  • yellowcard Thomas Muller 66'
  • yellowcard Alphonso Davies 74'
Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Bayern
Nov 9, 2019 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Arena (München)
Dortmund
  • Robert Lewandowski 17' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 47' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 67' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 76' goal
  • Mats Hummels 80' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marco Reus 63'
DFL-Supercup
Dortmund
Aug 3, 2019 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Signal Iduna Park
Bayern
  • Paco Alcacer 48' goal
  • Jadon Sancho 69' goal
  • yellowcard Robert Lewandowski 59'
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 77'
Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Bayern
Apr 6, 2019 5.30pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT Allianz Arena (München)
Dortmund
  • Mats Hummels 10' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 17' goal
  • Javi Martinez 41' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 43' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 70' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 89' goal
  • yellowcard Dan-Axel Zagadou 40'
  • yellowcard Thomas Delaney 70'

Form Data

Bayern 5 - 1 FC Koln
Lazio 1 - 4 Bayern
Frankfurt 2 - 1 Bayern
Bayern 3 - 3 Arminia Bielefeld
Bayern 1 - 0 Tigres
Al Ahly 0 - 2 Bayern
Borussia M'bach 0 - 1 Dortmund
Dortmund 3 - 0 Arminia Bielefeld
Schalke 0 - 4 Dortmund
Sevilla 2 - 3 Dortmund
Dortmund 2 - 2 Hoffenheim
Freiburg 2 - 1 Dortmund

Build-up

Predicted Lineups