Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 24

Mar 6, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
4 - 2
Dortmund

Lewandowski (26', 44' pen., 90'), Goretzka (88')
Lewandowski (28')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Braut Haaland (2', 9')
Meunier (29')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 65.51%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 17.6% and a draw had a probability of 16.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (4.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
65.51%	16.89%	17.6%

Both teams to score 70.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

77.58%

22.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

58.53%

41.47%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.36%

6.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.35%

24.65%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.98%

25.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.32%

59.68%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 65.51%

Borussia Dortmund 17.6%

Draw 16.89%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 7.66% 2-0 @ 6.11% 3-0 @ 5.53% 3-2 @ 5.31% 4-1 @ 5.19% 1-0 @ 4.51% 4-0 @ 3.75% 4-2 @ 3.6% 5-1 @ 2.82% 5-0 @ 2.03% 5-2 @ 1.95% 4-3 @ 1.66% 6-1 @ 1.27% 6-0 @ 0.92% 5-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.84% Total : 65.51%	1-1 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 5.87% 3-3 @ 2.45% 0-0 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.67% Total : 16.89%	1-2 @ 4.33% 2-3 @ 2.71% 0-1 @ 2.3% 1-3 @ 2% 0-2 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.74% Total : 17.6%