Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 77.75%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 9.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.4%) and 3-0 (6.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.53%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.