Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 18

Jan 24, 2021 at 5pm UK

Rhein-Neckar-Arena

Hoffenheim
3 - 0
FC Koln

Kramaric (7' pen., 75' pen.), Baumgartner (28')
Bebou (13'), Posch (52')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Cestic (6'), Skhiri (56'), Mere (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 51.8%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	FC Koln
51.8%	22.39%	25.81%

Both teams to score 61.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.54%

38.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.24%

60.76%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.99%

15.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.52%

43.48%

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.23%

27.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.65%

63.35%

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 51.8%

FC Koln 25.81%

Draw 22.38%

Hoffenheim	Draw	FC Koln
2-1 @ 9.6% 1-0 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 6.07% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 2.88% 4-0 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 4.04% Total : 51.8%	1-1 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 4.17% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.38%	1-2 @ 6.49% 0-1 @ 5.34% 0-2 @ 3.42% 1-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.7% Total : 25.81%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs FC Koln

Hoffenheim

70.9%

Draw

12.7%

FC Koln

16.4%