Champions League

Champions League | Quarter-Finals

Apr 13, 2021 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
0 - 1
Bayern

Dagba (55'), Herrera (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Maxim Choupo-Moting (40')
Alaba (52'), Muller (68')

Reaction

Paris Saint-Germain's Neymar celebrates after the match against Bayern Munich with Mauricio Pochettino in the Champions League on April 13, 2021

Mauricio Pochettino revels in "amazing moment" as PSG knock out Bayern

Bayern could only secure a 1-0 win at at Parc des Princes.

Apr 13, 22:41

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 38.6% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.55%) and 1-3 (4.84%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Bayern Munich
38.6%	18.97%	42.42%

Both teams to score 81.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

84.67%

15.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

68.88%

31.11%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.89%

10.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.73%

33.27%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.91%

9.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.12%

30.87%

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 38.6%

Bayern Munich 42.42%

Draw 18.97%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.78% 3-2 @ 5.3% 3-1 @ 4.42% 4-2 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-3 @ 2.43% 2-0 @ 2.41% 1-0 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.84% 5-2 @ 1.39% 5-1 @ 1.16% 5-3 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 4.02% Total : 38.6%	2-2 @ 6.94% 1-1 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 4.24% 4-4 @ 1.46% 0-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.37% Total : 18.97%	1-2 @ 6.05% 2-3 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 4.84% 2-4 @ 3.33% 1-4 @ 2.9% 0-2 @ 2.64% 3-4 @ 2.54% 0-1 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-5 @ 1.6% 1-5 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1.27% 3-5 @ 1.22% Other @ 4.78% Total : 42.42%