Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Lille had a probability of 16.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lille |
| 61.07% | 22.17% | 16.76% |
| Both teams to score 48.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.93% | 49.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.85% | 71.15% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.4% | 15.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.42% | 44.58% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.42% | 42.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.07% | 78.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% 2-0 @ 11.46% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 7.1% 3-1 @ 6.06% 4-0 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.59% 5-0 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.14% Total : 61.07% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 6.64% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.17% | 0-1 @ 5.67% 1-2 @ 4.5% 0-2 @ 2.42% 1-3 @ 1.28% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.7% Total : 16.76% |