Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30

Mar 21, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
2 - 4
PSG

Slimani (62'), Cornet (81')
Kadewere (40'), Diomande (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Mbappe (15', 52'), Pereira (32'), di Maria (47')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
28.83%	23.68%	47.49%

Both teams to score 59.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.8%

42.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.39%

64.61%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.44%

27.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.92%

63.08%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.03%

17.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.18%

48.82%

Score Analysis

Lyon 28.83%

Paris Saint-Germain 47.49%

Draw 23.68%

Lyon	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.06% 1-0 @ 6.38% 2-0 @ 4.11% 3-1 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 1.77% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.83%	1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.68%	1-2 @ 9.4% 0-1 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 7.3% 1-3 @ 5.38% 0-3 @ 4.18% 2-3 @ 3.47% 1-4 @ 2.31% 0-4 @ 1.79% 2-4 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.49%