Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27

Feb 28, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
1 - 1
Lyon

Milik (44' pen.)
Kamara (64'), Payet (78'), Gonzalez (81'), Gueye (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Toko Ekambi (21')
Paqueta (42'), Mendes (78'), Depay (81')
Paqueta (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 22.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Marseille win it was 2-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Lyon
22.04%	22.24%	55.72%

Both teams to score 57.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.18%

41.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.78%

64.22%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.3%

32.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.74%

69.25%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.11%

14.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.76%

43.24%

Score Analysis

Marseille 22.04%

Lyon 55.72%

Draw 22.24%

Marseille	Draw	Lyon
2-1 @ 5.79% 1-0 @ 5.44% 2-0 @ 3.04% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 2.06% 3-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.42% Total : 22.04%	1-1 @ 10.36% 2-2 @ 5.52% 0-0 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.24%	1-2 @ 9.87% 0-1 @ 9.27% 0-2 @ 8.83% 1-3 @ 6.27% 0-3 @ 5.61% 2-3 @ 3.5% 1-4 @ 2.99% 0-4 @ 2.67% 2-4 @ 1.67% 1-5 @ 1.14% 0-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.89% Total : 55.72%