Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Feb 20, 2021 at 4pm UK

La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
1 - 1
Marseille

Blas (50')
Traore (32'), Castelletto (43'), Chirivella (74'), Bamba (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Payet (69')
Gonzalez (88')
Sakai (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 43.12%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 27.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 1-2 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Marseille
27.87%	29.01%	43.12%

Both teams to score 42.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.64%

63.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.28%

82.72%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.5%

39.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.81%

76.19%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.79%

29.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.85%

65.15%

Score Analysis

Nantes 27.86%

Marseille 43.11%

Draw 29%

Nantes	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 10.71% 2-1 @ 6.13% 2-0 @ 4.98% 3-1 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.54% 3-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.44% Total : 27.86%	1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 11.53% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29%	0-1 @ 14.19% 0-2 @ 8.74% 1-2 @ 8.12% 0-3 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 1.1% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.48% Total : 43.11%

How you voted: Nantes vs Marseille

Nantes

18.6%

Draw

20.3%

Marseille

61.0%