Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Marseille |
| 31.81% | 27.45% | 40.75% |
| Both teams to score 48.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.3% | 56.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.34% | 77.66% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.13% | 32.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.56% | 69.44% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% | 27.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.23% | 62.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bordeaux | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 7.21% 2-0 @ 5.56% 3-1 @ 2.68% 3-0 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.81% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.98% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 11.65% 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-2 @ 7.56% 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.74% |