Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20

Jan 17, 2021 at 2pm UK

La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
1 - 1
Lens

Louza (36' pen.)
Kolo (50'), Corchia (67'), Toure (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kakuta (81')
Gradit (34'), Haidara (69'), Fortes (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Lens
35.21%	26.99%	37.8%

Both teams to score 50.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.61%

54.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.23%

75.76%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.55%

29.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.55%

65.44%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.11%

27.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.5%

63.5%

Score Analysis

Nantes 35.2%

Lens 37.79%

Draw 26.99%

Nantes	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.2%	1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.99%	0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 6.7% 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.94% Total : 37.79%

How you voted: Nantes vs Lens

Nantes

37.7%

Draw

41.5%

Lens

20.8%