Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11

Feb 17, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
3 - 2
Nice

Gonzalez (14'), Khaoui (42', 53')
Kamara (44'), Sakai (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gouiri (47'), Sellouki (87')
Lees-Melou (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Nice had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Nice
45.53%	25.47%	29.01%

Both teams to score 53.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.05%

49.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.06%

71.94%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.07%

21.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.8%

55.2%

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.6%

31.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.23%

67.77%

Score Analysis

Marseille 45.52%

Nice 29.01%

Draw 25.46%

Marseille	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.18% 2-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 4.64% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.52%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.46%	0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.86% Total : 29.01%