Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Nice had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Nice |
45.53% | 25.47% | 29.01% |
Both teams to score 53.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.05% | 49.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.06% | 71.94% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.07% | 21.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.8% | 55.2% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.6% | 31.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.23% | 67.77% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.18% 2-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 4.64% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.52% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.86% Total : 29.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 29 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 26 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
7 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 23 |
8 | Auxerre | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 20 |
9 | Reims | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Toulouse | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |