Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9

Jan 20, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
0 - 1
Lens

Gueye (55'), Balerdi (62'), Perrin (69'), Khaoui (81'), Cuisance (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Banza (59')
Haidara (19'), Banza (25'), Medina (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Lens had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Lens
47.61%	25.53%	26.86%

Both teams to score 51.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.52%

51.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.71%

73.28%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.37%

21.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.25%

54.74%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.16%

33.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.49%

70.51%

Score Analysis

Marseille 47.6%

Lens 26.86%

Draw 25.53%

Marseille	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 9.3% 2-0 @ 8.58% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-0 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.35% Total : 47.6%	1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.53%	0-1 @ 7.93% 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.31% Total : 26.86%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lens

Marseille

78.8%

Draw

14.1%

Lens

7.1%