Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Dec 23, 2020 at 6pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
2 - 1
Brest

Kalimuendo (11'), Sotoca (34' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Charbonnier (90+4' pen.)
Pierre-Gabriel (13'), Duverne (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Brest had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Brest
47.81%	25.9%	26.29%

Both teams to score 50.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.7%

53.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.15%

74.85%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.7%

22.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.24%

55.76%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.71%

35.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.95%

72.05%

Score Analysis

Lens 47.81%

Brest 26.29%

Draw 25.9%

Lens	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 11.8% 2-1 @ 9.23% 2-0 @ 8.86% 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.17% Total : 47.81%	1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.9%	0-1 @ 8.2% 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.04% Total : 26.29%

How you voted: Lens vs Brest

Lens

38.9%

Draw

27.8%

Brest

33.3%