Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 53.44%. A win for Lens had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Lens |
| 53.44% | 23.24% | 23.31% |
| Both teams to score 55.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.16% | 44.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.8% | 67.19% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.27% | 16.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.35% | 46.64% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% | 33.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.15% | 69.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 8.89% 3-1 @ 5.84% 3-0 @ 5.3% 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.61% 4-0 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.44% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.13% Total : 53.44% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 0-0 @ 5.56% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.24% | 0-1 @ 6.13% 1-2 @ 6.03% 0-2 @ 3.37% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.35% Total : 23.31% |