Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Brest |
| 39.7% | 27.53% | 32.77% |
| Both teams to score 48.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.2% | 56.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.26% | 77.74% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% | 27.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.42% | 63.58% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.75% | 32.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.25% | 68.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.7% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 7.36% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.76% |