/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fmetlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fbrelog_1.png)
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Alexandre Oukidja
32'
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Fabien Centonze
66'
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Irvin Cardona
12'
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Irvin Cardona
54'
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John Boye
64'
(OG)
Metz vs Brest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F47%2Falexandre-oukidja.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result
Metz
39.7%
Draw
27.53%
Brest
32.77%
Both Teams to Score:
48.81%
Goals
Over 2.5
43.2%
Under 2.5
56.8%
Over 3.5
22.26%
Under 3.5
77.74%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5
72.05%
Under 0.5
27.95%
Over 1.5
36.42%
Under 1.5
63.58%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5
67.75%
Under 0.5
32.25%
Over 1.5
31.25%
Under 1.5
68.74%
Score analysis
Metz
39.7%
Draw
27.53%
Brest
32.76%
Metz
1-0
@
11.49%
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 3.52%
3-0 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 39.7%
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 3.52%
3-0 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 39.7%
Draw
1-1
@
13%
0-0 @ 9.01%
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.53%
0-0 @ 9.01%
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.53%
Brest
0-1
@
10.19%
1-2 @ 7.36%
0-2 @ 5.77%
1-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 32.76%
1-2 @ 7.36%
0-2 @ 5.77%
1-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 32.76%