Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Brest |
| 44.9% | 26.08% | 29.02% |
| Both teams to score 51.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.53% | 52.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.86% | 74.14% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% | 23.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.77% | 57.23% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.3% | 32.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.75% | 69.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.08% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.88% Total : 44.89% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.62% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.51% 1-2 @ 6.93% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.02% |