Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Brest had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Lorient |
| 35.11% | 26.59% | 38.29% |
| Both teams to score 52.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.22% | 52.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.59% | 74.4% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.28% | 28.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.45% | 64.54% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% | 26.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.85% | 62.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.11% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 8.32% 0-2 @ 6.67% 1-3 @ 3.65% 0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.17% Total : 38.28% |