Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Nantes |
| 50.3% | 27.59% | 22.11% |
| Both teams to score 41.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.78% | 62.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.1% | 81.9% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.97% | 25.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.31% | 59.7% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.81% | 44.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.72% | 80.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 15.32% 2-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 8.67% 3-0 @ 4.9% 3-1 @ 4% 4-0 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.09% Total : 50.3% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 3.54% Other @ 0.48% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 9.03% 1-2 @ 5.11% 0-2 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 1% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.11% |