Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Rennes win it was 0-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.