Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4

Sep 20, 2020 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
1 - 1
Lille

Germain (85')
Nagatomo (21'), Thauvin (58'), Gonzalez (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Araujo (47')
Andre (50'), Bradaric (58'), Sanches (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lille, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Lille had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Lille
46.92%	25.34%	27.73%

Both teams to score 53.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.84%

50.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.88%

72.12%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.61%

21.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.63%

54.37%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.54%

32.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.02%

68.98%

Score Analysis

Marseille 46.92%

Lille 27.73%

Draw 25.33%

Marseille	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.29% 2-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.44% Total : 46.92%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.94% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.33%	0-1 @ 7.81% 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.6% Total : 27.73%

Ligue 1

Marseille1 - 1Lille

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Marseille
1 - 1
Lille