Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3

Sep 13, 2020 at 12pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
1 - 0
Metz

Araujo (88')
Pied (31'), Bradaric (57'), Andre (80'), C. (80'), Celik (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Maiga (20'), Bronn (36'), Pajot (43'), Centonze (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Metz, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Metz had a probability of 17.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.11%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Metz
55.16%	27.1%	17.74%

Both teams to score 37.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.33%

64.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.34%

83.66%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.08%

23.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.87%

58.13%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.35%

50.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.9%

85.1%

Score Analysis

Lille 55.15%

Metz 17.74%

Draw 27.09%

Lille	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 17.33% 2-0 @ 12.39% 2-1 @ 8.43% 3-0 @ 5.91% 3-1 @ 4.02% 4-0 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.15% Total : 55.15%	0-0 @ 12.11% 1-1 @ 11.78% 2-2 @ 2.87% Other @ 0.33% Total : 27.09%	0-1 @ 8.24% 1-2 @ 4.01% 0-2 @ 2.8% 1-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.78% Total : 17.74%

Ligue 1

Lille1 - 0Metz

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Lille
1 - 0
Metz