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Ligue 1

Angers
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 27, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stade Jean Bouin
Brest logo

Angers
3 - 2
Brest

Thioub (22'), Traore (78'), Fulgini (80')
Pavlovic (39'), Mangani (43'), Cho (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mounie (3' pen.), Charbonnier (32')
Diallo (27'), Cardona (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Angers and Brest, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Brest had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.

Result
AngersDrawBrest
41.1%28.15%30.75%
Both teams to score 46.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.45%59.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.11%79.89%
Angers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52%28.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75%64.25%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.87%35.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.12%71.88%
Score Analysis
    Angers 41.09%
    Brest 30.74%
    Draw 28.14%
AngersDrawBrest
1-0 @ 12.56%
2-1 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 7.89%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 3.3%
3-2 @ 1.81%
4-1 @ 1.09%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 41.09%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 10%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.14%
0-1 @ 10.46%
1-2 @ 6.88%
0-2 @ 5.47%
1-3 @ 2.4%
0-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 30.74%