Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Angers had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Angers |
| 46.57% | 26.55% | 26.89% |
| Both teams to score 48.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.6% | 55.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.4% | 76.6% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.23% | 23.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.08% | 57.92% |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.07% | 35.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.29% | 72.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Angers |
| 1-0 @ 12.27% 2-1 @ 9.02% 2-0 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 4.32% 3-0 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.64% Total : 46.57% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 8.54% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.55% | 0-1 @ 8.74% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 4.47% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 1.95% Total : 26.89% |