Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 54.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Nice had a probability of 21.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nice |
54.49% | 23.82% | 21.68% |
Both teams to score 51.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.9% | 49.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.82% | 71.17% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.09% | 17.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.29% | 48.71% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.87% | 37.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.09% | 73.91% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 11.43% 2-0 @ 9.83% 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 5.64% 3-1 @ 5.59% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-0 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.47% Total : 54.49% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 6.65% 2-2 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 6.59% 1-2 @ 5.61% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.69% Total : 21.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 59 |
2 | Brest | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
4 | Lille | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Nice | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 43 |
6 | Lens | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 42 |
7 | Marseille | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
8 | Rennes | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 39 |
9 | Reims | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Lyon | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 29 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 29 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 27 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Lorient | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 26 |
16 | NantesNantes | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
17 | Metz | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
18 | Clermont | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 20 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |