Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 47.36%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 25.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.38%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-0 (9.11%).
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 25.45% | 27.2% | 47.36% |
| Both teams to score 45.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.39% | 58.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.83% | 79.17% |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.07% | 38.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.34% | 75.66% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% | 24.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.61% | 59.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 9.11% 2-1 @ 5.99% 2-0 @ 4.3% 3-1 @ 1.88% 3-0 @ 1.35% 3-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.5% Total : 25.45% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 9.66% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 13.46% 0-2 @ 9.38% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-3 @ 4.36% 1-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.52% 1-4 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.29% Total : 47.36% |