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Ligue 1

Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Sep 15, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Lyon

Montpellier
2 - 1
Lyon

Savanier (38' pen., 59')
Delort (7'), Ferri (62'), Hilton (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Depay (82' pen.)
Guimaraes (36'), Toko Ekambi (45+2')
Aouar (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier and Lyon, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Montpellier HSC in this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLyon
42.18%24.78%33.04%
Both teams to score 57.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.7%45.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.36%67.64%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49%21.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.44%54.56%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62%26.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.47%61.53%
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 42.18%
    Lyon 33.04%
    Draw 24.77%
Montpellier HSCDrawLyon
2-1 @ 8.93%
1-0 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 6.7%
3-1 @ 4.57%
3-0 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 3.05%
4-1 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 42.18%
1-1 @ 11.61%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-1 @ 7.56%
0-2 @ 5.04%
1-3 @ 3.44%
2-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 33.04%