Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Montpellier HSC in this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lyon |
42.18% | 24.78% | 33.04% |
Both teams to score 57.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.7% | 45.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.36% | 67.64% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.49% | 21.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.44% | 54.56% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.62% | 26.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.47% | 61.53% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 8.93% 1-0 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-0 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.18% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 7.74% 0-1 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 59 |
2 | Brest | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
4 | Lille | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Nice | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 43 |
6 | Lens | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 42 |
7 | Marseille | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
8 | Rennes | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 39 |
9 | Reims | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Lyon | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 29 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 29 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 27 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Lorient | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 26 |
16 | NantesNantes | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
17 | Metz | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
18 | Clermont | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 20 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |