Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Lyon |
| 37.85% | 26.12% | 36.03% |
| Both teams to score 53.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.3% | 50.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.39% | 72.6% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% | 26.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.81% | 61.18% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% | 27.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.43% | 62.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bordeaux | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 6.39% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.37% Total : 37.85% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 9.25% 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-2 @ 6.03% 1-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.03% |