Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Metz had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.3%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (12.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nimes | Draw | Metz |
| 36.66% | 29.91% | 33.43% |
| Both teams to score 42.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.12% | 64.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.19% | 83.81% |
| Nimes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.14% | 33.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.47% | 70.53% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.94% | 36.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.16% | 72.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nimes | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 13.22% 2-1 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.66% | 1-1 @ 13.48% 0-0 @ 12.2% 2-2 @ 3.73% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.9% | 0-1 @ 12.45% 1-2 @ 6.88% 0-2 @ 6.35% 1-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.98% Total : 33.43% |