Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 53.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 22.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nimes |
| 53.11% | 23.95% | 22.94% |
| Both teams to score 52.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.75% | 48.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.6% | 70.39% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.89% | 18.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.95% | 49.05% |
| Nimes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.55% | 35.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.79% | 72.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nimes |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.72% 2-0 @ 9.37% 3-1 @ 5.54% 3-0 @ 5.34% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 2.37% 4-0 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.1% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.94% | 0-1 @ 6.66% 1-2 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 3.45% 1-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.96% Total : 22.94% |