Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Reims had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Reims |
| 39.83% | 27.84% | 32.33% |
| Both teams to score 47.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.98% | 58.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.29% | 78.71% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.54% | 28.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.78% | 64.23% |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.82% | 33.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.21% | 69.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Reims |
| 1-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 7.46% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.74% Total : 39.82% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.44% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.33% |