Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Reims had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Reims |
39.83% | 27.84% | 32.33% |
Both teams to score 47.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.98% | 58.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.29% | 78.71% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.54% | 28.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.78% | 64.23% |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.82% | 33.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.21% | 69.79% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Reims |
1-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 7.46% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.74% Total : 39.82% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.44% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 59 |
2 | Brest | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
4 | Lille | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Nice | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 43 |
6 | Lens | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 42 |
7 | Marseille | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
8 | Rennes | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 39 |
9 | Reims | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Lyon | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 29 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 29 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 27 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Lorient | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 26 |
16 | NantesNantes | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
17 | Metz | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
18 | Clermont | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 20 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |