Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
42.8% | 27.55% | 29.65% |
Both teams to score 47.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.22% | 57.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.48% | 78.52% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.28% | 26.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.02% | 61.98% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.98% | 35.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.23% | 71.77% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 12.35% 2-1 @ 8.55% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.8% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 9.82% 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-2 @ 5.15% 1-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.13% Total : 29.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |