Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 42.8% | 27.55% | 29.65% |
| Both teams to score 47.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.22% | 57.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.48% | 78.52% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.28% | 26.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.02% | 61.98% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.98% | 35.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.23% | 71.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 12.35% 2-1 @ 8.55% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.8% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 9.82% 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-2 @ 5.15% 1-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.13% Total : 29.65% |