Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 58.36% | 23.07% | 18.57% |
| Both teams to score 49.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.03% | 49.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.05% | 71.95% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.17% | 16.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.18% | 46.82% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.07% | 40.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.5% | 77.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 12.27% 2-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 5.8% 4-0 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.03% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.89% Total : 58.35% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 0-0 @ 6.89% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.07% | 0-1 @ 6.15% 1-2 @ 4.9% 0-2 @ 2.75% 1-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.01% Total : 18.57% |