Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Nice had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Nice |
| 45.94% | 26.69% | 27.37% |
| Both teams to score 48.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.34% | 55.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.19% | 76.81% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% | 24.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.49% | 58.51% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.33% | 35.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.56% | 72.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 8.69% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.93% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 4.58% 1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 1.99% Total : 27.37% |