Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 40.85% | 27.42% | 31.72% |
| Both teams to score 48.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.36% | 56.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.39% | 77.61% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% | 27.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.35% | 62.66% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.11% | 32.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.53% | 69.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 11.65% 2-1 @ 8.43% 2-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.85% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 8.96% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.72% |