Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lorient |
37.82% | 28.19% | 33.99% |
Both teams to score 47.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.94% | 59.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.48% | 79.52% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.86% | 30.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.71% | 66.29% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.42% | 32.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.88% | 69.12% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 7.92% 2-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.35% Total : 37.81% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.82% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 11.01% 1-2 @ 7.41% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Brest | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 53 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
4 | Lille | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Nice | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 44 |
6 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Marseille | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
10 | Rennes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 39 |
11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 36 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 31 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 28 |
16 | Lorient | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 26 |
17 | Metz | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |