Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lorient |
| 37.82% | 28.19% | 33.99% |
| Both teams to score 47.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.94% | 59.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.48% | 79.52% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.86% | 30.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.71% | 66.29% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.42% | 32.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.88% | 69.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 7.92% 2-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.35% Total : 37.81% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.82% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 11.01% 1-2 @ 7.41% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.98% |