Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Rennes |
| 37.76% | 26.45% | 35.79% |
| Both teams to score 52.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.9% | 52.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.18% | 73.82% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% | 26.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.88% | 62.12% |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% | 27.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.39% | 63.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.76% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 9.56% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 6.09% 1-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.79% |