Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Monaco |
| 46.63% | 26.33% | 27.04% |
| Both teams to score 49.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.49% | 54.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.13% | 75.87% |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.64% | 23.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.68% | 57.32% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.67% | 35.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.91% | 72.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 11.99% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 8.73% 3-1 @ 4.4% 3-0 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.77% Total : 46.62% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 8.25% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 8.59% 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 4.47% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.05% Total : 27.04% |