Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Metz had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Metz |
| 60.39% | 23.27% | 16.34% |
| Both teams to score 44.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.01% | 53.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.57% | 75.43% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.45% | 17.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.91% | 48.09% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.94% | 46.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.24% | 81.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 14.06% 2-0 @ 12.23% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 7.1% 3-1 @ 5.5% 4-0 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.13% 5-0 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.38% Total : 60.38% | 1-1 @ 10.9% 0-0 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 3.68% Other @ 0.6% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 6.27% 1-2 @ 4.23% 0-2 @ 2.43% 1-3 @ 1.09% 2-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.37% Total : 16.34% |