Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Brest had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Lille |
| 27.97% | 25.42% | 46.61% |
| Both teams to score 53.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.68% | 50.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.74% | 72.26% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.64% | 32.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.13% | 68.87% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.41% | 21.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.31% | 54.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 7.88% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 4.45% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.97% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 9.26% 0-2 @ 8.21% 1-3 @ 4.73% 0-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 2.67% 1-4 @ 1.81% 0-4 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.39% Total : 46.61% |