Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 17.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Dijon |
| 57.83% | 25.16% | 17.01% |
| Both teams to score 40.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.39% | 59.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.06% | 79.93% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.34% | 20.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.76% | 53.23% |
| Dijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.46% | 48.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.38% | 83.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Dijon |
| 1-0 @ 15.81% 2-0 @ 12.46% 2-1 @ 9.01% 3-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 4.74% 4-0 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.71% Other @ 3.08% Total : 57.82% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 3.26% Other @ 0.44% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.25% 1-2 @ 4.13% 0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 1% Other @ 2.01% Total : 17.01% |