Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 45.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Metz had a probability of 26.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Metz |
| 45.53% | 27.61% | 26.86% |
| Both teams to score 45.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.78% | 59.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.36% | 79.64% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% | 25.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.01% | 60.99% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.95% | 38.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.19% | 74.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 13.32% 2-0 @ 8.98% 2-1 @ 8.68% 3-0 @ 4.04% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.06% Total : 45.53% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 9.88% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 6.22% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.63% Total : 26.86% |