Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 40.61% | 26.69% | 32.7% |
| Both teams to score 51.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.44% | 53.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.93% | 75.07% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% | 25.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.06% | 60.94% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% | 30.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.1% | 66.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.3% Total : 40.6% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 7.95% 2-2 @ 5.06% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 9.4% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 5.56% 1-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 2% Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.7% |