Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Metz had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Lens |
26.25% | 25.94% | 47.8% |
Both teams to score 50.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.49% | 53.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.97% | 75.02% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.57% | 35.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.81% | 72.19% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.6% | 22.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.1% | 55.9% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 8.23% 2-1 @ 6.39% 2-0 @ 4.27% 3-1 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.65% 3-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.02% Total : 26.25% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 11.87% 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-2 @ 8.88% 1-3 @ 4.6% 0-3 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.66% Other @ 3.03% Total : 47.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |