Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Nantes |
| 40.55% | 28.55% | 30.9% |
| Both teams to score 45.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.13% | 60.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.1% | 80.89% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.57% | 29.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.57% | 65.42% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.27% | 35.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.5% | 72.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 12.86% 2-1 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 1.01% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.53% Total : 40.55% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.51% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.54% | 0-1 @ 10.82% 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.02% Total : 30.9% |