Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 39.31% | 28.47% | 32.22% |
| Both teams to score 45.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.71% | 60.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.54% | 80.46% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.14% | 29.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.05% | 65.95% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.54% | 34.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.83% | 71.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 12.43% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 1.72% 4-1 @ 0.98% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.5% Total : 39.31% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.46% | 0-1 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 5.84% 1-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.26% Total : 32.22% |