Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 46.35% | 25.93% | 27.73% |
| Both teams to score 51.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.47% | 52.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.81% | 74.19% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% | 22.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.73% | 56.27% |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.29% | 33.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.63% | 70.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 8.42% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.11% Total : 46.34% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.3% 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4.51% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.35% Total : 27.73% |