Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Strasbourg |
46.35% | 25.93% | 27.73% |
Both teams to score 51.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.47% | 52.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.81% | 74.19% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.36% | 22.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.73% | 56.27% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.29% | 33.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.63% | 70.37% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 8.42% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.11% Total : 46.34% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.3% 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4.51% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.35% Total : 27.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Nice | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |