Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 39.57% | 27.51% | 32.91% |
| Both teams to score 48.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.29% | 56.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.34% | 77.66% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% | 27.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.39% | 63.61% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.89% | 32.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.42% | 68.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 7.29% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.85% Total : 39.57% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 8.98% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 5.8% 1-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.91% |