Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 49.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 49.11% | 25.72% | 25.16% |
| Both teams to score 49.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.58% | 53.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.05% | 74.95% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.23% | 21.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.04% | 54.97% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.69% | 36.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.9% | 73.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% 2-1 @ 9.31% 2-0 @ 9.19% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.28% Total : 49.11% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.01% 1-2 @ 6.18% 0-2 @ 4.06% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.86% Total : 25.16% |